Indian equity benchmarks ended an 8-week winning streak, with sharp declines on Friday, August 2. The Nifty and Sensex indices fell by 0.47% and 0.43% for the week, respectively, marking the end of a five-day bull run that saw Nifty breach the crucial psychological level of 25,000.
D-Street Weekly Wrap Indices Break 8-Week Winning
Nifty closed the week down by 1.17%, or 293.2 points, at 24,717.7, while the Sensex dropped 1.08%, or 885.59 points, to 80,981.95.
The losses on Friday were primarily driven by weak global cues. Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research) at Mehta Equities, remarked that the recent upsurge had made Indian stocks very expensive, making a correction inevitable. Despite the slump, he noted that India’s resilient economy, strong fundamentals, and healthy corporate earnings would limit the downside.
Technically, the 25,000 mark for Nifty has become a psychological barrier, with strength confirmed only above this level, Tapse added.
Broader markets were mixed on a weekly basis, with the Nifty Midcap 100 adding 0.25% and the Nifty Smallcap 100 falling by 0.3%. The Bank Nifty gained 0.11% during the week.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, noted that the Indian market is showing signs of fatigue at higher levels, as most positive factors have already been priced in. Subdued Q1FY25 earnings and stretched valuations are not reassuring investors.
Sector-wise, the metals sector was affected by weak results and higher imports, which harmed domestic industries. Capital goods and real estate saw profit booking, while the auto sector struggled due to below-expected monthly sales figures.
Top Sectoral Gainers and Losers, D-Street Weekly Wrap Indices Break 8-Week Winning
Nifty Realty was the top loser of the week, dropping over 3.7%, followed by Nifty IT, which fell over 3%. Conversely, Nifty Energy led the gainers with an increase of over 2.5%, followed by Nifty Pharma, which gained 1.4%.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
Nair noted that the chances of further consolidation seem elevated due to premium valuations, weak Q1 results, and ongoing global market consolidation. The upcoming RBI policy meeting could provide some hints towards an outlook on interest rates, although expectations are currently to maintain the status quo.
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